Found programs:
Authors:Zhu Damin; Zou Huijuan; Wang Jing; Ma Cong; Peng Xiaoqing; Li Danyang; Zhou Yangfan; Yang Yulu; Cao Yunxia; Xu Xiaofeng
Keywords:nomogram model;embryo-transfer;threatened abortion;the onset of vaginal bleeding time;human chorionic gonadotrophin
DOI:10.19405/j.cnki.issn1000-1492.2022.07.030
〔Abstract〕 Objective To investigate the risk factors affecting the occurrence of complications in patients with vaginal bleeding after in vitro fertilization/intracytoplasmic sperm injection embryo transfer(IVF/ICSI-ET) and the construction of nomogram prediction model. Methods A total of 272 patients with threatened abortion after IVF/ICSI-ET were retrospectively analyzed in this study. They were divided into the live birth group and abortion group according to the final outcome of pregnancy. Patient characteristics were evaluated using the chi-square test, independent-samples Student's t-test or Wilcoxon rank sum test. A nomogram was created to predict the pregnancy outcome of women with threatened abortion who received IVF/ICSI using multivariate logistic regression coefficients. Results There was no significant difference in the basic data, percentage of frozen embryos, treatment method, number of embryos transferred, high-quality embryo rate, and embryo implantation rate of the live birth group and abortion group(P>0.05). There were significant differences in body mass index, the onset of vaginal bleeding time after transplantation, serum levels of hCG and progesterone on 14 th day after embryo-transfer, and the number of gestational sacs between the two groups(P<0.05). After multivariate logistic regression analysis, the onset of vaginal bleeding time after transplantation and serum hCG levels on 14 th day after transfer were statistically significant(P<0.05). The nomogram was established based on the above indicators, with an area under the curve of 0.710 for the nomogram. The area under the ROC curve of our nomogram was better than the area under the ROC curve of a single risk factor(AUC of bleeding time after embryo-transfer: 0.644, AUC of serum hCG14:0.625). Conclusion The nomogram model established based on the onset of vaginal bleeding time after embryo-transfer and serum hCG value on 14 th day after embryo-transfer can better predict pregnancy outcome of patients with threatened abortion after IVF/ICSI-ET.