基金项目: 国家自然科学基金项目(编号:72174175、72064036、72163033)~~
作者:陈晓蝶;买吾拉江·依马木;常敏丽;张利萍;郑彦玲;
关键词:肺结核;圆形分布法;空间自相关;冷热点分析;空间重心分布;新疆喀什
DOI:10.19405/j.cnki.issn1000-1492.2025.05.022
〔摘 要〕 Objective To investigate the characteristics of temporal and spatial distribution of tuberculosis epidemics in Shache County, Kashgar Region, Xinjiang. Methods Information on the incidence of tuberculosis in Sacha County from 2019—2021 was collected and spatiotemporally analyzed by applying the circular distribution method, local spatial autocorrelation analysis, hot and cold spot analysis, directional distribution and spatial center of gravity methods. Results The total number of tuberculosis cases in Shache County in 2019—2021 was 8 345, of which 52.03%were male and 47.97% were female, and the patients were predominantly 60-75 years old. The number of reported incidences of TB in Tagarqi Township, Shache Township, and Chajek Township ranked among the top three in the county. Spring and summer were the disease-prone seasons for TB, and mid-March to mid-July was the period of high disease incidence. Misha Township and Ishkuli Township are the “high and high” gathering areas, while the “low and low” gathering areas are mainly concentrated in Khoshrav Township and Karasu Township. The hotspots of TB incidence in Shache county were Tagarqi township, Misha township, and Ishkuli township. During the study period, the center of gravity of TB incidence in Shache county of Kashgar area gradually shifted from the southwest to the northeast. Conclusion In Shache county, there is a certain degree of aggregation of tuberculosis outbreaks, with more men than women reporting illnesses, a larger proportion of older people, and a strong seasonal incidence of the disease, with Mixia township and Ishikuli township being the key areas of incidence. Relevant departments should continue to strengthen the disease surveillance of key populations and regions during the high incidence of tuberculosis, and take appropriate intervention measures to reduce the risk of tuberculosis transmission.